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天然橡膠市場(chǎng)一周行情(2015.01.26-01.30)

時(shí)間:2015-02-09 作者: 來源: 點(diǎn)擊次數(shù):4841

<table style="height:1002px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" bordercolor="#000000" cellpadding="2"> <tbody> <tr> <td colspan="8"> <p align="center"> <strong><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">天然橡膠市場(chǎng)一周行情(2015.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1.26-</span></strong><strong><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1.30)</span></strong> </p> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">--國(guó)家天然橡膠產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)體系海口綜合試驗(yàn)站(中國(guó)天然橡膠協(xié)會(huì))&nbsp;中國(guó)農(nóng)墾經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中心經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易處</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> <p align="center"> <strong><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">類別</span></strong> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1.26</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1.27</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1.28</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1.29</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">&nbsp;1.30</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">漲跌幅</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td rowspan="3"> <p align="center"> <strong><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">產(chǎn)區(qū)FOB價(jià)格</span></strong> </p> </td> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">泰國(guó)煙片RSS3(美元)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1694.8</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1708.6</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1716.3</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">--</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1711.5</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">0.99%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">印標(biāo)20#(美元)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1660</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1660</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1675</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">--</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1655</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-0.30%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">馬標(biāo)20#(美元)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1389</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1400</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1410</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1394</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1369</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-1.44%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td rowspan="2"> <p align="center"> <strong><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">國(guó)內(nèi)現(xiàn)貨報(bào)價(jià)</span></strong> </p> </td> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">上海、山東全乳乳</span><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">(元)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">12000</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">12200</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">12200</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">12200</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">12100</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">0.83%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">人民幣復(fù)合膠報(bào)價(jià)(元,含稅)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">9900</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">10000</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">10000</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">9900</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">9800</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-1.01%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td rowspan="10"> <p align="center"> <strong><span style="font-size:12px;">市場(chǎng)信息</span></strong><span style="font-size:12px;">&nbsp;</span> </p> </td> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">滬膠成交量分析(手)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">839468</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">778907</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">728000</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">546278</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">633292</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-24.56%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">滬膠持倉(cāng)量分析(手)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">298327</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">313068</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">310282</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">297204</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">296672</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-0.55%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">主力合約收盤價(jià)(元)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">13070</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">13320</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">13280</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">13145</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">12875</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-1.49%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">滬膠遠(yuǎn)近合約價(jià)</span><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">(元)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-345</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-415</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-435</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-405</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-425</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-80</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">新加坡RSS3結(jié)算價(jià)</span><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">(美元)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1675</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1687</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1710</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1700</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1705</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1.79%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">新加坡TSR20結(jié)算價(jià)</span><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">(美元)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1395</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1409</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1407</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1394</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1383</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-0.86%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">TOCOM主力月收盤價(jià)(日元)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">198.4</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">200.9</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">201.9</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">198.8</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">196.1</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-1.16%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">NYMEX原油(美元)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">45.15</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">46.23</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">44.45</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">44.53</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">48.24</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">6.84%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">美元兌人民幣中間價(jià)</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">6.2536</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">6.2430</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">6.2478</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">6.2462</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">6.2492</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-0.07%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">美元兌日元匯率</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">118.46</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">117.77</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">117.85</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">118.2</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">117.4</span> </p> </td> <td> <p align="center"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">-0.89%</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center"> <strong><span style="font-size:12px;">庫(kù)存方面</span></strong> </p> </td> <td colspan="7"> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">  </span><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">上海期貨交易所本周五庫(kù)存由上周的噸164606增至164681噸,增加75,或0.05%。</span> </p> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">  截至1月30日,青島保稅區(qū)橡膠總庫(kù)存較本月中旬激增12%至15.9萬(wàn)噸,較2014年底增加21%,增加的數(shù)量主要來自天然橡膠和復(fù)合橡膠。</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center"> <strong><span style="font-size:12px;">供應(yīng)方面</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:12px;">&nbsp;</span></strong> </p> </td> <td colspan="7"> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">  </span><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">泰國(guó)政府在繼續(xù)在中央市場(chǎng)收購(gòu)煙片和白片約1.366萬(wàn)噸,泰國(guó)政府共收儲(chǔ)7.3萬(wàn)噸煙片+白片,從收儲(chǔ)情況來看,泰國(guó)近期產(chǎn)量并未出現(xiàn)減少的跡象,由于政府不斷收儲(chǔ),膠農(nóng)積極性整體仍維持高位。</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center"> <strong><span style="font-size:12px;">需求方面</span></strong> </p> </td> <td colspan="7"> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">  </span><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">2014年中國(guó)共進(jìn)口天然橡膠261萬(wàn)噸,同比增5.6%;進(jìn)口合成橡膠148萬(wàn)噸,同比降2.7%。</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center"> <strong><span style="font-size:12px;">汽車方面</span></strong> </p> </td> <td colspan="7"> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">  </span><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">汽車行業(yè)今年將完成“營(yíng)改增”改革:稅率從17%降至3%。</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center"> <strong><span style="font-size:12px;">宏觀方面</span></strong> </p> </td> <td colspan="7"> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">  </span><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1月份中國(guó)制造業(yè)采購(gòu)經(jīng)理指數(shù)(PMI)為49.8%,較上月下降0.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn),兩年多來首次跌破50%榮枯線,顯示當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)下行壓力仍不容忽視,2月份,受春節(jié)等因素影響,企業(yè)經(jīng)營(yíng)活動(dòng)仍將下行波動(dòng)。</span> </p> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">  </span><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">中國(guó)計(jì)劃將2015年GDP增速目標(biāo)降至7%左右,為十一年來最低目標(biāo)。</span> </p> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">  </span><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)繼續(xù)表達(dá)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的信心,或許暗示外圍全球的寬松會(huì)降低聯(lián)儲(chǔ)收緊政策帶來的影響,短期油價(jià)繼續(xù)受壓走低,或進(jìn)一步有利于美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì),但對(duì)商品出口國(guó)構(gòu)成挑戰(zhàn),料美元強(qiáng)勢(shì)依然在近期壓制周期商品市場(chǎng)表現(xiàn)。&nbsp;</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="8"> <p> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">  </span><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">總體看,全球供應(yīng)充足。本周泰國(guó)3號(hào)煙片、印尼20號(hào)標(biāo)膠、馬來西亞的20號(hào)標(biāo)膠FOB價(jià)格漲跌不一;滬膠主力、新加坡TSR20、TOCOM主力合約小幅下跌,新加坡&nbsp;RSS3小幅上漲;滬膠的成交量大幅下跌,持倉(cāng)量小幅下跌;上海、山東現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格漲跌不一。上海期貨交易所天然橡膠庫(kù)存微增加,青島保稅區(qū)庫(kù)存小幅增加。美元指數(shù)上漲、美原油指數(shù)下跌、道瓊斯指數(shù)上漲。受多種因素影響,近期天膠震蕩下跌。</span> </p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

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